{"id":20408,"date":"2025-07-17T15:56:12","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T15:56:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/?p=20408"},"modified":"2025-07-17T15:56:12","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T15:56:12","slug":"israels-gaza-strategy-between-military-control-and-political-stalemate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/2025\/07\/17\/israels-gaza-strategy-between-military-control-and-political-stalemate\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel\u2019s Gaza Strategy: Between Military Control and Political Stalemate"},"content":{"rendered":"

Watan<\/strong><\/em>-After yet another hard day in Gaza, it\u2019s time to state a few truths \u2014 including the uncomfortable admission that Prime Minister Netanyahu may be right about some things, while still steering Israel into an unsolvable crisis.<\/p>\n

The idea that Hamas must not govern Gaza is a necessity. Hamas started this catastrophe with mass killings and remains committed to prolonging it. It is a genocidal organization. That hasn\u2019t changed \u2014 and won\u2019t. On principle, Hamas has signaled a willingness to relinquish power, but not seriously. Even moderate Arab states like Egypt say Hamas must surrender all its weapons \u2014 \u201cevery last Kalashnikov,\u201d as they put it.<\/p>\n

The issue is this: continuing the war right now doesn\u2019t pressure Hamas to give up control. On the contrary, it elevates them as symbols of resistance and glorifies their role. And driving Gaza\u2019s population into Israeli-run tent camps will not help matters. This is a complex strategic problem that demands long-term planning, cunning, and foresight. The government, of course, does none of this. It has no idea how to achieve its goals \u2014 especially given the army\u2019s condition after nearly two years of war.<\/p>\n

Lapid and Bennett argue: let\u2019s minimize losses, reach a comprehensive deal, recover the hostages, and then weaken Hamas over time. The coalition answers: you won\u2019t weaken them \u2014 you\u2019ll just buy calm again, and temporary calm always becomes permanent. That\u2019s a valid argument. But there\u2019s another layer here: we are stuck between two options \u2014 a deal where Hamas claims to step aside but keeps its power behind the scenes, and a real deal in which Hamas disarms completely. According to Netanyahu, this is what we\u2019re fighting for.<\/p>\n

\"The
Hamas resistance<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

But who believes Hamas \u2014 the strongest force in Palestinian society (to both their tragedy and ours) \u2014 will truly surrender? Who will oversee disarmament? If not the Israeli army, it won\u2019t happen. So what is Netanyahu talking about? Is he planning to \u201cbuy a used car\u201d from Hamas?<\/p>\n

For the IDF to ensure Hamas doesn\u2019t govern Gaza, a military regime would be needed. That means seizing the entire Strip \u2014 risking the lives of the remaining hostages \u2014 and still not defeating Hamas.<\/p>\n

Such military rule would require real control over a completely devastated region, plus responsibility for the welfare, health, and education of two million Palestinians, while Hamas continues its terror from the shadows.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s summarize: the gap is between an obviously flawed deal where Hamas steps back but retains influence \u2014 and a slightly better deception involving limited disarmament and a more neutral fa\u00e7ade. Or, a military regime. In all these cases, Hamas survives as a terrorist structure: either as a political-military force, or as a guerrilla insurgency.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s an incredibly difficult problem. That\u2019s exactly why, from day one, many in the world (myself included) asked: what is the \u201cday after\u201d plan? That is the question. There is no victory without such a plan. The truth is, the government had no plan \u2014 and now we are paying the price. Otherwise, we wouldn\u2019t be talking about refugee \u201ccamps\u201d in Rafah.<\/p>\n

At the same time, there are broader concerns \u2014 especially for most Israelis. The cost of fallen soldiers, shattered families, long-term trauma. More and more Israelis now recognize the tragedy of civilian deaths in Gaza. As I\u2019ve written countless times: there are innocents in Gaza \u2014 civilians, children. Every child is innocent.<\/p>\n

Even if the humanitarian disaster doesn’t move you emotionally, think strategically: the death toll in Gaza impacts not just Palestinian society, but Israeli society as well. Some argue this builds deterrence \u2014 that Gazans won\u2019t dare repeat October 7. I think about pain, grief, rage \u2014 and generational reckoning.<\/p>\n

If Gaza remains \u2014 and it will \u2014 who will the anger be directed toward? Us. Our children. Right or wrong, it doesn\u2019t matter. That is reality. Recognizing it is rational \u2014 like Moshe Dayan\u2019s eulogy for Ro\u2019i Rotberg, but a thousand times more.<\/p>\n

\"After
Israeli war crimes in Gaza<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

I haven\u2019t forgotten what Hamas did on October 7. But Israeli thinking has become so intoxicated with power, so immature, that we\u2019re defeating ourselves. “Victory” is not an abstract concept \u2014 unless your enemy chooses a different path entirely. Unless they stop trying \u2014 because they don\u2019t want to fight anymore.<\/p>\n

Germany was defeated. Japan too. They lost the will to fight and wanted to join the victorious global order. That is victory.<\/p>\n

Some say that was only due to the massive destruction of Germany and Japan. Maybe. But Gaza is already destroyed \u2014 bombed, flattened. It hasn\u2019t been defeated. For two reasons: because Israel is fighting jihadists \u2014 whose logic is different, who are willing to sacrifice everything, including themselves. And because defeating such an enemy requires not just a gun, but a strategy \u2014 including the readiness to extend a hand.<\/p>\n

Israel tried to defeat Hamas without connecting to the Palestinian people. It took the government a year and a half to grasp what every occupier in history \u2014 including Israel in 1967 \u2014 learned immediately: you have to win over the people. Otherwise\u2026 what?<\/p>\n

The coalition\u2019s ideology was: all Gazans are guilty. No food, no Palestinian Authority, no divide-and-rule. No wonder we arrived where we did.<\/p>\n

So what now? Israel has run out of good options \u2014 except perhaps a temporary deal. Netanyahu likely understands this. But again \u2014 without a long-term, organized, and yes, humanitarian strategy \u2014 Israel will crash back into the wall of reality. Deal or no deal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Watan-After yet another hard day in Gaza, it\u2019s time to state a few truths \u2014 including the uncomfortable admission that Prime Minister Netanyahu may be right about some things, while still steering Israel into an unsolvable crisis. The idea that Hamas must not govern Gaza is a necessity. Hamas started this catastrophe with mass killings …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9659,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[989,644,903,738],"class_list":["post-20408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-ceasefire-agreement","tag-hamas","tag-israeli-war-on-gaza","tag-the-gaza-strip"],"yoast_head":"\nIsrael\u2019s Gaza Strategy: Between Military Control and Political Stalemate - Watan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"After another devastating day in Gaza, Israeli voices are raising hard truths: Hamas must not govern, but Israel's strategy lacks vision.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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