{"id":20008,"date":"2025-07-09T13:04:36","date_gmt":"2025-07-09T13:04:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/?p=20008"},"modified":"2025-07-09T13:04:36","modified_gmt":"2025-07-09T13:04:36","slug":"trump-and-netanyahus-diverging-dreams-redrawing-the-middle-east-in-chaos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/2025\/07\/09\/trump-and-netanyahus-diverging-dreams-redrawing-the-middle-east-in-chaos\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump and Netanyahu\u2019s Diverging Dreams: Redrawing the Middle East in Chaos"},"content":{"rendered":"

Watan<\/strong><\/em>-According to French outlet Mediapart, Donald Trump is pushing hard to impose a ceasefire in Gaza on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who visited Washington on Monday. But Israel itself, a key architect of the current regional chaos, is obstructing the \u201cAmerican peace\u201d vision Trump wants to promote.<\/p>\n

Despite publicly dismissing Hamas\u2019s conditions as “unacceptable,” Netanyahu sent a negotiating team to Qatar on Sunday. As with previous negotiation cycles, Israel ramped up its aerial assaults on Gaza in the days before. For Netanyahu, securing a ceasefire in Washington could be spun as a victory, especially given Israel\u2019s lack of any serious post-war strategy for Gaza\u2014apart from continuing its genocidal campaign to avoid addressing what comes next.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s \u201cNext Deal\u201d<\/h3>\n

The proposed agreement envisions a 60-day temporary ceasefire. During this period, negotiations for a permanent end to the war would resume. Israel would receive 10 hostages on Day 1 and another 10 on Day 50. The bodies of 18 other hostages would be returned gradually. Israel estimates that around 50 hostages remain in Gaza, half of whom are likely dead. Hamas would refrain from releasing footage of the hostages\u2019 return, unlike in previous ceasefires. In exchange, Palestinian prisoners would be freed.<\/p>\n

However, three main points are stalling progress:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. \n

    Hamas demands stronger guarantees that a ceasefire will eventually lead to a full end to the war.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  2. \n

    Disagreements over the Israeli army\u2019s withdrawal roadmap from Gaza persist.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  3. \n

    Hamas demands the closure of the \u201cGaza Humanitarian Foundation\u201d (GHF), an Israeli-controlled mechanism for aid delivery. Since GHF’s establishment on May 27, over 600 Palestinians have died trying to obtain flour. Palestinians want aid oversight restored to the UN and international NGOs.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Upon returning to power in January, Trump moved swiftly to enforce a Gaza ceasefire, in stark contrast to his predecessor Joe Biden, whose red lines resulted in no real action\u2014leaving Gaza devastated.<\/p>\n

    Mediapart argues that Trump isn\u2019t driven by ethics. Rather, he wants to be \u201cthe dealmaker\u201d. Netanyahu\u2019s current U.S. visit\u2014despite his ICC arrest warrant\u2014aligns with Trump\u2019s broader plans for reshaping the region.<\/p>\n

    \"Hamas
    Hamas<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

    Clashing Agendas<\/h3>\n

    As international relations scholar Philippe Golub notes, there is an overlap in the two leaders\u2019 goals, but their intentions differ:<\/p>\n

      \n
    • \n

      Netanyahu wants maximum autonomy, even in Gaza.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      Trump wants Netanyahu to fall in line with U.S. strategy\u2014focused on creating a new Middle East axis around Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States, and Israel\u2014geared toward economic prosperity, not political resolution.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      This comes after Trump recently ended a 12-day war between Israel and Iran, eager to remain the region\u2019s central power. But this ambition is built on ignoring political realities and marginalizing the Palestinian cause.<\/p>\n

      Israel\u2019s Goal Is Domination, Not Stability<\/h3>\n

      Having weakened Iran and its allies\u2014Hezbollah, Hamas, Assad, and the Houthis\u2014Israel has reasserted regional military dominance. But that dominance brings destabilization, through sovereign bombings, illegal annexations, and ongoing genocide in Gaza.<\/p>\n

      Mediapart quotes journalist Sylvain Cypel, author of Israel Against the Jews:\u201cNetanyahu\u2019s goal isn\u2019t peace\u2014it\u2019s chaos. In chaos, only brute power remains. The supremacist and messianic factions in Israel\u2019s government want endless war. This appeals to an Israeli society high on its sense of unchecked power\u2014despite deep existential fears.\u201d<\/p>\n

      Netanyahu arrives in Washington emboldened by Israel\u2019s strikes on Iran. During Trump\u2019s first term, his pro-Israel stance was evident: he moved the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, legitimized settlements, normalized ties between Israel and Arab states (the Abraham Accords), and withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal.<\/p>\n

      But This Time Is Different<\/h3>\n

      Although Trump still supports Israel publicly, Mediapart notes signs of growing tension with Netanyahu. His insistence on a Gaza ceasefire isn\u2019t rooted in morality but in legacy-building\u2014he wants to be remembered as the architect of a \u201cMiddle East peace\u201d centered around Saudi Arabia.<\/p>\n

      Golub explains:\u201cHe doesn\u2019t have much time. He wants a Saudi deal\u2014either for a Nobel Peace Prize or for historical recognition. And this requires ending the Gaza war.\u201d<\/p>\n

      However, the plan lacks any realistic post-war vision. Gaza lies in ruins. Over 57,000 Palestinians have been killed since October 7. Saudi Arabia still insists that recognizing a Palestinian state is a non-negotiable precondition for normalization.<\/p>\n

      Aside from minor tech deals, Arab countries gained little from Trump\u2019s 2020 normalization push. No unifying regional vision has emerged since the failure of the Arab Spring in 2011. The existing power balance among Iran, Israel, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey blocked any democratic aspirations.<\/p>\n

      That balance collapsed on October 7, says Mediapart, even before Trump\u2019s return to power. Now, U.S. and Israeli plans\u2014driven by security and economic interests\u2014have no political horizon, only deepening chaos.<\/p>\n

      Neither Trump nor Netanyahu has a vision for \u201cthe day after\u201d in Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, or Iran\u2014except what far-right Israeli nationalists fantasize about: a \u201cGreater Israel\u201d that swallows large parts of neighboring countries.<\/p>\n

      \"Israeli
      Israeli war crimes<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

      And Europe? Powerless<\/h3>\n

      Once imagined as a guarantor of international law, Europe is now irrelevant. Most EU states unconditionally support Israel, ignoring mass Palestinian, Lebanese, and Iranian casualties. Mediapart concludes that this growing detachment cements Europe\u2019s marginalization in the region.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Watan-According to French outlet Mediapart, Donald Trump is pushing hard to impose a ceasefire in Gaza on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who visited Washington on Monday. But Israel itself, a key architect of the current regional chaos, is obstructing the \u201cAmerican peace\u201d vision Trump wants to promote. Despite publicly dismissing Hamas\u2019s conditions as “unacceptable,” …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":20010,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[719,1771,4286],"class_list":["post-20008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-reports","tag-benjamin-netanyahu","tag-donald-trump","tag-the-middle-east"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump and Netanyahu\u2019s Diverging Dreams: Redrawing the Middle East in Chaos - Watan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A French Mediapart report exposes conflicting ambitions between Trump and Netanyahu over the future of Gaza and the Middle East.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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