{"id":19049,"date":"2025-06-18T10:33:04","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T10:33:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/?p=19049"},"modified":"2025-06-18T10:33:04","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T10:33:04","slug":"israeli-analyst-urges-diplomatic-shift-resume-nuclear-talks-with-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/2025\/06\/18\/israeli-analyst-urges-diplomatic-shift-resume-nuclear-talks-with-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Israeli Analyst Urges Diplomatic Shift: Resume Nuclear Talks with Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"

Watan<\/strong><\/em>-Ofer Shelah, an Israeli researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) at Tel Aviv University and a former Knesset member, has called for a pivot from military operations to diplomacy and giving Washington a chance to reach a nuclear agreement with Iran.<\/p>\n

In an article published on Channel 12\u2019s website, Shelah references Israel\u2019s National Security Council chief, Tzachi Hanegbi\u2014one of Prime Minister Netanyahu\u2019s closest allies\u2014who admitted: \u201cIsrael does not have the capability to eliminate Iran\u2019s nuclear program by force. The goal should be to weaken Iran and force it back to the negotiating table, accepting strict constraints that could delay, if not eliminate, their nuclear ambitions.\u201d<\/p>\n

Hanegbi acknowledged that Israel doesn\u2019t currently aim to decapitate Iran\u2019s leadership and admitted the obvious: \u201cWe cannot overthrow the regime of the Ayatollahs.\u201d While targeted assassinations of military and IRGC figures may have disrupted Iran\u2019s short-term response, he said they wouldn\u2019t destabilize the regime itself.<\/p>\n

He warned, \u201cThis is an authoritarian regime, but it is deeply rooted in a country of 90 million. Only the Iranian people can bring it down. Our actions may show it as weakened, but let\u2019s be modest: this might even bolster the regime in the short term.\u201d<\/p>\n

What\u2019s Next?<\/h3>\n

Shelah, known for his critical perspective, raises the question: what now? He argues two overlooked factors must be considered. First, coordination with Washington has been relatively narrow. While Trump appears to have approved the Israeli operation, it wasn\u2019t part of a broader strategy\u2014neither a joint military campaign nor a diplomatic plan led by the U.S.<\/p>\n

According to Shelah, Trump\u2019s stance reveals a different picture. His base, which embraces isolationism, has criticized involvement in \u201cothers\u2019 wars.\u201d Trump likely approved the strike as an Israeli move with U.S. defensive backing, similar to the Gaza model. Any hope of American intervention to resolve the war is misplaced optimism.<\/p>\n

\"Iran
the Israeli army radio reported that a missile struck the Lachish area, resulting in four injuries.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Second, Shelah stresses the gap between Israel\u2019s leadership and its public. While political and security elites operate in closed circles of optimism, the Israeli public is left facing the realities of daily war\u2014missile sirens, rising casualties, and no clear end in sight.<\/p>\n

He notes that recent Iranian missile barrages have exposed the limits of Israeli defense systems. Whether casualties are light or heavy comes down to luck, not strategy.<\/p>\n

Strategic Crossroads<\/h3>\n

Shelah believes Israel, once again, has launched a long-planned military path without a clear vision for a political outcome\u2014this time with even heavier implications. The attack on Hezbollah and Iran\u2019s confrontation with the U.S. presented both a strategic and operational opportunity. However, this opportunity risks becoming an end in itself.<\/p>\n

He warns that Iran is not Gaza, and its nuclear infrastructure isn\u2019t comparable to Hezbollah\u2019s missile network. The conflict with Iran won\u2019t end quickly. Shelah cites late Mossad chief Meir Dagan, who warned 14 years ago that a unilateral Israeli strike might only serve as justification for Iran to accelerate its nuclear program.<\/p>\n

Even Hanegbi concedes that Israel cannot fully destroy Iran\u2019s nuclear project alone.<\/p>\n

\"Israeli
Iran Attacks into Israel<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Final Recommendation<\/h3>\n

Shelah concludes that Israel must now reach a decisive crossroads: if the U.S. will not fully join the offensive, then Israel must immediately shift to a political campaign. The goal should be to secure and institutionalize whatever limited gains were made\u2014if any\u2014in Iran\u2019s nuclear infrastructure.<\/p>\n

Contrary to the prevailing pro-war sentiment, Shelah calls for resuming negotiations with Iran and leading a regional security architecture to counter a weakened Iranian axis. This must include ending the war in Gaza and retrieving the hostages\u2014rather than gambling repeatedly without a plan for victory while facing mounting human and political costs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Watan-Ofer Shelah, an Israeli researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) at Tel Aviv University and a former Knesset member, has called for a pivot from military operations to diplomacy and giving Washington a chance to reach a nuclear agreement with Iran. In an article published on Channel 12\u2019s website, Shelah references Israel\u2019s …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":19050,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[177,167,6088,3994],"class_list":["post-19049","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-reports","tag-iran","tag-israel","tag-nuclear-talks","tag-ofer-shelah"],"yoast_head":"\nIsraeli Analyst Urges Diplomatic Shift: Resume Nuclear Talks with Iran - Watan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Israeli analyst and ex-MK Ofer Shelah urges Israel to halt its military escalation against Iran and shift toward diplomacy..\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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