{"id":18873,"date":"2025-06-15T10:17:35","date_gmt":"2025-06-15T10:17:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/?p=18873"},"modified":"2025-06-15T10:23:26","modified_gmt":"2025-06-15T10:23:26","slug":"how-israel-infiltrated-irans-regime-to-gather-high-impact-intelligence-says-u-s-analyst","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/2025\/06\/15\/how-israel-infiltrated-irans-regime-to-gather-high-impact-intelligence-says-u-s-analyst\/","title":{"rendered":"How Israel Infiltrated Iran\u2019s Regime to Gather High-Impact Intelligence, Says U.S. Analyst"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"ai-optimize-6 ai-optimize-introduction\"><em><strong>Watan<\/strong><\/em>-American columnist Thomas Friedman published an article in The New York Times in which he described Israel\u2019s strike on Iran\u2019s nuclear infrastructure as a pivotal event\u2014adding it to a list of historic wars that have reshaped the Middle East since World War II.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-8\" data-start=\"1332\" data-end=\"1487\">Friedman named the 1956, 1967, 1973, 1982, and 2023 wars, now followed by the events of 2025, as key turning points in the region\u2019s modern history.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-9\" data-start=\"1489\" data-end=\"1781\">Although Friedman openly supports Israel, and criticizes Netanyahu out of concern for the country\u2019s future, he wrote that it\u2019s too early to predict the full consequences of the current strike. However, he believes the situation may unfold in one of two radically different directions:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1783\" data-end=\"2012\">\n<li class=\"ai-optimize-10\" data-start=\"1783\" data-end=\"1926\">\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-11\" data-start=\"1785\" data-end=\"1926\">A \u201cvery positive\u201d scenario: The collapse of the Iranian regime and its replacement by a more moderate, secular, and inclusive government.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"ai-optimize-12\" data-start=\"1927\" data-end=\"2012\">\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-13\" data-start=\"1929\" data-end=\"2012\">A \u201cvery negative\u201d outcome: Full-scale regional war involving the United States.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-14\" data-start=\"2014\" data-end=\"2186\">Friedman also entertained a third, interim possibility\u2014a negotiated pause\u2014suggesting the strike might be a calculated message from President Donald Trump to Iran:\u201cI\u2019m still open to negotiating a peaceful end to your nuclear program\u2014and you might want to do that quickly. I\u2019m waiting for your call.\u201d<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"ai-optimize-15\" data-start=\"2332\" data-end=\"2368\">Israel\u2019s Strategic Objective<\/h3>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-16\" data-start=\"2370\" data-end=\"2729\">Friedman argues that Israel is more determined than ever to finish the job, having long sought to eliminate Iran\u2019s nuclear threat.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-16\" data-start=\"2370\" data-end=\"2729\">He noted that for the past 15 years, Israel had prepared for such attacks but always backed down\u2014either due to U.S. pressure or lack of confidence in its own military capabilities. Now, it has crossed that threshold.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18805\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18805\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-18805 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/96888-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Iraq officially submitted a complaint to the United Nations Security Council on Friday against Israel, accusing it of using Iraqi airspace in its recent strikes on Iran\u2014calling it a violation of international law and the UN Charter.\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/96888-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/96888-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/96888-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/96888-390x220.jpg 390w, https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/96888.jpg 1155w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18805\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Destruction in Nobonyad Square following the Israeli bombing, Tehran \u2013 June 13, 2025<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"ai-optimize-17\" data-start=\"2736\" data-end=\"2779\">Immediate Gains and Regional Impact<\/h3>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-18\" data-start=\"2781\" data-end=\"2956\">Friedman wrote that if Israel manages to seriously damage Iran\u2019s nuclear project\u2014even enough to temporarily halt enrichment\u2014it would be a significant military victory.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-19\" data-start=\"2958\" data-end=\"3159\">But more importantly, he highlighted the potential regional consequences, especially for Iran\u2019s influence in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, where Tehran has armed and financed local militias.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-20\" data-start=\"3161\" data-end=\"3460\">Friedman claimed that Iranian influence is already eroding, especially after Netanyahu\u2014who is wanted by the ICC for alleged war crimes\u2014moved to decapitate Hezbollah, leading to more pluralistic governments in Lebanon and Syria and a faint resurgence of hope, despite ongoing fragility.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"ai-optimize-21\" data-start=\"3467\" data-end=\"3523\">Internal Contradictions and Netanyahu\u2019s Strategy<\/h3>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-22\" data-start=\"3525\" data-end=\"3587\">Friedman criticized Netanyahu\u2019s internal contradictions:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"3588\" data-end=\"3753\">\n<li class=\"ai-optimize-23\" data-start=\"3588\" data-end=\"3642\">\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-24\" data-start=\"3590\" data-end=\"3642\">Regionally, he acts without ideological restraint.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"ai-optimize-25\" data-start=\"3643\" data-end=\"3753\">\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-26\" data-start=\"3645\" data-end=\"3753\">Domestically, he blocks any path to a Palestinian state, relying on far-right partners to stay in power.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-27\" data-start=\"3755\" data-end=\"3881\">This, Friedman argued, dragged Israel into Gaza\u2019s quagmire, calling it a \u201cmoral, economic, and strategic catastrophe.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-28\" data-start=\"3883\" data-end=\"4279\">He also questioned how Israel acquired such precise intelligence to locate and eliminate senior Iranian military officers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-28\" data-start=\"3883\" data-end=\"4279\">He pointed to the Apple TV+ series Tehran\u2014featuring a Mossad agent in Iran\u2014as an illustration of how deeply Israel may have penetrated Iran\u2019s power structure, suggesting that many Iranian officials may be willing to cooperate due to hatred for their own regime.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"ai-optimize-29\" data-start=\"4286\" data-end=\"4330\">Risk of Failure and War of Attrition<\/h3>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-30\" data-start=\"4332\" data-end=\"4576\">Friedman warned that if Israel fails to achieve its goals, and Iran emerges weakened but still capable of resuming its nuclear ambitions, the likely outcome is a long-term war of attrition between the two strongest armies in the region.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-31\" data-start=\"4578\" data-end=\"4732\">This would mean continued instability, oil market disruption, and possibly Iran retaliating against U.S. allies and forces across the Middle East.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_18836\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-18836\" style=\"width: 1000px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-18836 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/89622219.jpg\" alt=\"The Israeli army announced on Friday that it had detected missiles launched from Iran and was actively working to intercept the \u201cthreat.\u201d\" width=\"1000\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/89622219.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/89622219-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/89622219-768x461.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-18836\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Iran missile attack on Israel<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"ai-optimize-32\" data-start=\"4739\" data-end=\"4773\">Possible U.S. Intervention<\/h3>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-33\" data-start=\"4775\" data-end=\"4953\">In that case, Friedman said, the Trump administration might feel forced to intervene directly\u2014not only to end the war but potentially to topple the Iranian regime itself. This, Friedman warned, would lead to unpredictable and far-reaching consequences.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"ai-optimize-35\" data-start=\"5047\" data-end=\"5100\">Two Lessons for the Future of the Middle East<\/h3>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-36\" data-start=\"5102\" data-end=\"5141\">Friedman closed with two key takeaways:<\/p>\n<ol data-start=\"5143\" data-end=\"5319\">\n<li class=\"ai-optimize-37\" data-start=\"5143\" data-end=\"5215\">\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-38\" data-start=\"5146\" data-end=\"5215\">Regimes like Iran\u2019s appear strong until they suddenly collapse.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"ai-optimize-39\" data-start=\"5216\" data-end=\"5319\">\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-40\" data-start=\"5219\" data-end=\"5319\">The fall of authoritarian regimes doesn\u2019t guarantee democracy\u2014it may just bring prolonged chaos.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p class=\"ai-optimize-41\" data-start=\"5321\" data-end=\"5488\">And while Friedman openly hopes for the end of the Islamic Republic, he also cautions that its fall could unleash forces more dangerous than the regime itself.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Watan-American columnist Thomas Friedman published an article in The New York Times in which he described Israel\u2019s strike on Iran\u2019s nuclear infrastructure as a pivotal event\u2014adding it to a list of historic wars that have reshaped the Middle East since World War II. Friedman named the 1956, 1967, 1973, 1982, and 2023 wars, now followed &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18874,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[6016,6017],"class_list":["post-18873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-american-columnist-thomas-friedman","tag-irans-nuclear-infrastructure"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.6 (Yoast SEO v27.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How Israel Infiltrated Iran\u2019s Regime to Gather High-Impact Intelligence, Says U.S. Analyst - Watan<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Columnist Thomas Friedman describes Israel\u2019s military strike on Iran\u2019s nuclear infrastructure as a watershed event,.. historic regional wars.\" \/>\n<meta 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