{"id":15682,"date":"2025-04-11T14:54:34","date_gmt":"2025-04-11T14:54:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/?p=15682"},"modified":"2025-04-11T14:55:19","modified_gmt":"2025-04-11T14:55:19","slug":"trump-signals-shift-in-u-s-syria-policy-amid-turkish-israeli-tensions-and-post-assad-landscape","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/2025\/04\/11\/trump-signals-shift-in-u-s-syria-policy-amid-turkish-israeli-tensions-and-post-assad-landscape\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Signals Shift in U.S. Syria Policy Amid Turkish-Israeli Tensions and Post-Assad Landscape"},"content":{"rendered":"

Watan<\/strong><\/em>-Whatever the interpretations of the U.S. State Department\u2019s decision to downgrade the staffing level of the Syrian mission to the United Nations may be, even the minimum standards of legal, diplomatic, and political logic require acknowledging that the move reflects yet another concrete sign of confusion, inconsistency, and shifting stances\u2014tinged at times with disarray\u2014within the White House\u2019s official position toward post-Assad Syria. And this confusion pertains to the overall new Syrian context following the collapse of the \u201cCorrective Movement\u201d regime, rather than to the transitional administration or its president in particular.<\/p>\n

This state of ambiguity had already emerged in the final days of President Joe Biden\u2019s administration, although the brief time between December 8, 2024, and the inauguration of President Donald Trump was insufficient for White House officials, advisers, and experts to formulate a clear approach. Complicating matters further was the rise of Hay\u2019at Tahrir al-Sham dominating the scene as the Assad era closed\u2014a development that came as a rapid, unexpected victory, defying many of the cautious assessments usually employed by U.S. administrations when adopting at least a provisional or emergency policy stance.<\/p>\n

Although Trump is known for making impulsive remarks, even on highly sensitive issues (such as his \u201cGaza Riviera\u201d proposal\u2014somewhere between a tasteless joke, ethnic cleansing, and an outright war crime), his statements about Syria in the context of potential Turkish-Israeli tensions suggest this was not mere impulsiveness. Especially since he was speaking from the Oval Office, with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu\u2014hastily summoned to Washington\u2014seated beside him.<\/p>\n

\"Al-Sharaa\u2019s
Turkey Syria relation<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
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Israeli Journalist\u2019s Syria Question Triggers Trump\u2019s Strategic Pivot Toward Turkey and Tehran<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n

One may begin with a seemingly minor detail: the question posed by Israeli journalist Lisa Rosovsky of Haaretz, asking about Turkey\u2019s claims of contributing to stability in Syria, and whether Trump believed Turkey\u2019s influence could make the country more peaceful or, on the contrary, worsen the situation. The significance of this question lies in what it reveals: serious Israeli concerns about the potential empowerment of Turkey in Syria, particularly militarily. It is also notable that the question came from a journalist representing a newspaper not typically aligned with Netanyahu\u2019s government.<\/p>\n

Did this question merit Trump\u2019s extensive response? Including:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. \n

    Expressing personal admiration for Turkish President Erdo\u011fan,<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  2. \n

    Praising him as someone who \u201cdid what no one else could,\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  3. \n

    Congratulating Erdo\u011fan on his \u201ctakeover\u201d of Syria, something \u201cno one has done in 2,000 years,\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  4. \n

    Offering U.S. mediation\u2014\u201cnot a problem,\u201d so long as \u201cBibi\u201d (Netanyahu) remains reasonable?<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Not exactly\u2014except in the context of a broader strategy. Trump appeared to use the opportunity to conclude a series of U.S.-Israeli exchanges on Iran, Gaza, and trade tariffs by unexpectedly pivoting to Syria (not just Turkish-Israeli relations). This shift coincided with another surprise: the White House\u2019s intention to engage in direct talks with Tehran\u2014contrary to Netanyahu\u2019s hopes for joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran\u2019s nuclear and missile facilities.<\/p>\n

    Rosovsky\u2019s question may have triggered such a detailed reply also because Trump had been recently briefed on the geopolitical and security landscape, emphasizing the need for a renewed U.S. approach to Syria\u2014an approach that breaks from the inertia of Trump\u2019s first term, Biden\u2019s tenure, and even what remains of Obama\u2019s Syria policy during the Arab Spring. This new approach might involve Turkey, especially given Ankara\u2019s success in maintaining a decade-long balancing act in Syria amid overlapping Iranian, Russian, and Israeli interests\u2014while backing armed Syrian opposition and managing its war with the PKK.<\/p>\n

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    Trump\u2019s Syria Pivot Hints at Power-Sharing Strategy Amid Shifting Regional Alignments<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n

    Although Iranian and Russian military, political, and ideological presences in Syria have waned following Assad\u2019s fall, the war on Gaza, and the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Israeli, Turkish, and American occupations persist and are expanding\u2014through Israeli incursions in the Golan, Hauran, and Damascus airport attacks, for instance.<\/p>\n

    In light of Trump\u2019s remarks, one reading suggests that his proposed mediation is implicitly linked to a broader power-sharing arrangement over spheres of influence\u2014especially given his close ties to both Erdo\u011fan and Netanyahu, and the ongoing U.S. military presence of 900 troops in Syria, a topic of ongoing debate.<\/p>\n

    So far, despite mixed or absent signals, the emerging American approach toward Syria diverges notably from the views of National Intelligence Director Tulsi Gabbard, who is known for her sympathetic stance toward Bashar al-Assad. This shift may prove decisive. It\u2019s also likely that Washington\u2019s Arab allies\u2014particularly Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, and Kuwait\u2014who have welcomed Syria\u2019s new authorities in their own ways, will encourage Trump to revise the rigid stance held by some in his previous administration toward Syria\u2019s transitional leadership. That view was essentially confined to a narrow and outdated narrative: that the new Syrian leadership stems from al-Qaeda or \u201cterrorism,\u201d and lacks control over all Syrian territory\u2014an approach that fails to meet even the minimum thresholds of realpolitik.<\/p>\n

    \"Trump\u2019s
    U.S.-Syria secret relation<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
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    Al-Sharaa\u2019s Regional Tour Signals New Syria-Turkey-Israel Dynamics in Post-Assad Era<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n

    It is also likely that the upcoming visit of Syrian figure Farouq al-Sharaa to Turkey\u2014coinciding not coincidentally with a visit to the UAE\u2014will clarify the trajectory of relations between the new Syria and Turkey, now the region\u2019s dominant regional and NATO power, not just under Erdo\u011fan. These relations, in turn, will influence the parallel regional power, Israel<\/a>, where the rules of engagement must now change after 15 years of Netanyahu\u2019s unchecked dominance in the region.<\/p>\n

    Trump\u2019s White House, including both its sharpest minds and its simplest operators, understands well that Ankara\u2019s ties with Moscow were never a rigid \u201cCatholic marriage.\u201d They were instead a carefully calibrated balance of converging and diverging interests. This allowed Russian President Vladimir Putin, not long ago, to travel directly from Damascus to Istanbul to inaugurate a gas pipeline. They surely also remember the Turkish-Russian power-sharing agreement forged after Turkey shot down a Russian Su-24 fighter jet in fall 2015.<\/p>\n

    It may not be long before this unfolding tension yields outcomes that extend Trump\u2019s surprises even further\u2014fulfilling, in a sense, the wisdom of Imam al-Shafi\u2019i:”Nights, though silent, carry the weight of unborn marvels.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Watan-Whatever the interpretations of the U.S. State Department\u2019s decision to downgrade the staffing level of the Syrian mission to the United Nations may be, even the minimum standards of legal, diplomatic, and political logic require acknowledging that the move reflects yet another concrete sign of confusion, inconsistency, and shifting stances\u2014tinged at times with disarray\u2014within the …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15684,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[1771,167,67,4744,155],"class_list":["post-15682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-reports","tag-donald-trump","tag-israel","tag-syria","tag-the-u-s-state-department","tag-turkey"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump Signals Shift in U.S. Syria Policy Amid Turkish-Israeli Tensions and Post-Assad Landscape - Watan<\/title>\n<meta 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