{"id":14742,"date":"2025-03-24T19:43:10","date_gmt":"2025-03-24T19:43:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/?p=14742"},"modified":"2025-03-24T19:43:10","modified_gmt":"2025-03-24T19:43:10","slug":"can-growing-israeli-protests-shift-the-course-of-the-gaza-war-and-the-hostage-deal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.watanserb.com\/en\/2025\/03\/24\/can-growing-israeli-protests-shift-the-course-of-the-gaza-war-and-the-hostage-deal\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Growing Israeli Protests Shift the Course of the Gaza War and the Hostage Deal?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Watan<\/strong><\/em>-Are protests escalating in the Israeli street due to internal disagreements, after months of limited and hesitant demonstrations despite the resumption of the war on Gaza and the threat to the fate of the remaining hostages? Is the new aggression part of the pressure on Hamas, or a prelude to launching a second war on Gaza in pursuit of the elusive \u201cabsolute victory,\u201d despite the massacres, savage destruction, and possibly ambitions for displacement?<\/p>\n

These protests have recently shown a renewed awakening, due to a combination of new triggers and the ongoing motivator for months: widespread Israeli fear for the fate of the hostages in Gaza. The main new concerns include rampant corruption, growing authoritarianism, and the rising number of observers warning that this is a senseless war, without a plan, that will result in the deaths of both Palestinian civilians and Israeli captives, without bringing them back alive\u2014potentially dragging Israel into another long and costly war.<\/p>\n

Many ministers have shown open disdain for the government’s legal advisor, to the point of mockery. Minister Shlomo Karhi, for example, compared her to \u201ca flight attendant trying to take control of the plane\u2019s steering wheel from the pilot.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"Gaza
Hostage deal<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

“Protests Stir as Public Fatigue Clashes with Political Defiance”<\/strong><\/h3>\n

However, this awakening might falter, as it is subject to fluctuating influences and public moods, especially given Israelis are exhausted by the war, and before that, by the daily protests in 2023 against the \u201cjudicial overhaul.\u201d Moreover, some segments of society are not angered by the firing of Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar, whom they see as one of the senior officials responsible for the failure and disgrace of October 7.<\/p>\n

Yet, the many statements by ministers declaring their refusal to abide by the law and the Supreme Court’s rulings pour fuel on the fire, worry Israelis, and push them out of their apathy and into the streets, despite exhaustion, potential despair about change, and even the cold weather.<\/p>\n

This is what political analyst Raviv Drucker pointed out today in an article titled \u201cThank You, Karhi\u201d published in Haaretz. He says that Minister of Communications Shlomo Karhi and other reckless ministers confirm in various ways their disrespect for the Supreme Court\u2019s decision.<\/p>\n

This refers to a future Supreme Court ruling regarding appeals filed (and to be filed) to prevent the dismissal of the Shin Bet chief and the government\u2019s legal advisor\u2014who was dismissed unanimously yesterday\u2014amid widespread mockery from many ministers, including Karhi\u2019s comparison to a flight attendant.<\/p>\n

\"Israel
510 Palestinians Killed in Israeli Airstrikes as Army Expands Gaza Offensive<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The Mood of the Street<\/h3>\n

Since news emerged of the government\u2019s intent to fire Ronen Bar, demonstrations have grown in size and intensity against the occupation government. It is not unlikely that they will escalate further, especially after significant parties and organizations announced plans to join the protests\u2014such as the Histadrut (General Federation of Labor), major companies, universities, and large law firms.<\/p>\n

But for these protests to reach a peak that can restrain Netanyahu, more organization, participation, and missteps from his government are needed\u2014along with long-term stamina. Internal issues are unfolding along a path with no immediate resolution and require patience and determination.<\/p>\n

If the protests grow in scale, could they impact the continuation of the assault on Gaza or the fate of the stalled deal? Perhaps the mounting protest against corruption and authoritarianism could fuel opposition to the war, especially as it risks killing the remaining hostages in Gaza. These scandals raise serious questions among some Israelis about Netanyahu\u2019s priorities, decision-making, and whether his actions are driven by ulterior motives.<\/p>\n

Anger over corruption and tyranny may thus feed into the protests against renewed bombing or a second war on Gaza, as the issues are deeply intertwined. One cannot separate protesting corruption from protesting a return to a war many Israelis believe is baseless and unplanned.<\/p>\n

Protest leaders aim to win a battle for awareness\u2014the awareness of the Israeli public and the American administration, which is closely watching and aware that Netanyahu is acting contrary to the will of his citizens, as Steve Witkoff remarked the day before yesterday.<\/p>\n

\"Hamas
Israel prisoner exchange<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The Key Is in the White House<\/h3>\n

However, the large-scale protests Netanyahu fears most\u2014according to past experience\u2014are far from guaranteed due to public fatigue, divisions within the opposition, their mistakes, and the lack of charismatic leadership. Moreover, Netanyahu persistently and cunningly seeks to cool down and pacify the protests, even by encouraging American officials to claim that \u201cHamas\u201d is the one obstructing the deal, for instance.<\/p>\n

The future of the protests depends on a public mood that can shift due to many internal and external factors\u2014old and new. But on their own, they may not be enough to restrain the government, stop the war, and return to an agreement. The key to the Gaza crisis lies, to a great extent, in the White House, which is currently giving Israel the green light to pressure Hamas with firepower.<\/p>\n

Yet Netanyahu seems to be planning beyond just pressuring Hamas, as he carries out the current indiscriminate bombing that targets hospitals and civilians. Some Israeli observers\u2014like military analyst Amos Harel of Haaretz\u2014believe this is laying the groundwork for launching a second war.<\/p>\n

\"Israel
Israeli Escalation Aims to Sway Talks, Enable Displacement<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The Red Line<\/h3>\n

In an article titled \u201cThe Red Line,\u201d Harel reveals that as military operations expand and the concept of \u201ctransfer\u201d becomes a practical plan, Egypt fears Israel might open a border crossing to push Gazans into Sinai and impose a new reality. He notes Egypt would then face two choices: absorb hundreds of thousands of refugees under pressure or deploy military force to prevent their entry.<\/p>\n

He continues: \u201cEither way, this would have catastrophic consequences for Egypt-Israel relations. To prevent this, Trump must be clearer and stricter in saying that migration of any kind\u2014not just forced\u2014is not a viable plan or solution.\u201d<\/p>\n

On Netanyahu\u2019s intentions\u2014whether it\u2019s pressure on Hamas or a second war\u2014Dr. Michael Milshtein, head of Palestinian affairs at Tel Aviv University, agrees with Harel. In a piece published by Yedioth Ahronoth today titled \u201cThe Second War of Delusion\u201d, Milshtein argues that while Israelis are preoccupied with the firing of Bar and Baharav-Miara, it\u2019s difficult to ask essential questions about the war\u2019s logic: Is the goal freeing the captives or occupying Gaza at the cost of sacrificing them?<\/p>\n

He answers that when the prospects for normalization with Saudi Arabia fade, it\u2019s important to weigh the cost of occupying Gaza. He adds: \u201cIn the long run, Israel will need to control the Strip until a local alternative to Hamas arises\u2014but not now, when the main goal is freeing the hostages.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"U.S.
Gaza ceasefire talks<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

An Agreement Within Two Months?<\/h3>\n

Contrary to assessments and warnings about Netanyahu\u2019s intentions to occupy the Strip, establish military rule, and possibly force Gazans into Sinai, retired General Eliezer Marom (former Navy Commander) expects the U.S. administration to impose a settlement within two months.<\/p>\n

In an interview with Army Radio today, Marom said settlement expansion in the West Bank is intensifying quietly, under the radar and the cover of internal disputes. Therefore, Smotrich and Ben Gvir will accept a new agreement that ends the war and will not leave the coalition.<\/p>\n

When asked, Marom said that Hamas agrees not to remain in power in Gaza, and that disarmament will be negotiated\u2014along with other topics.<\/p>\n

He continued: \u201cMaybe Trump will come and say, \u2018This is the best deal we can get,\u2019 and impose a solution that ends the war with a deal involving reconstruction and Saudi involvement. It will be hard for Israel to say \u2018no.\u2019 Israel will declare \u2018absolute victory\u2019 on its side, and Hamas will claim victory on theirs.\u201d<\/p>\n

He explained that by referencing statements from Steve Witkoff in the last two days, adding: \u201cWitkoff understands what\u2019s happening in the region and wants negotiations. There\u2019s a risk of economic collapse in Israel due to the prolonged war, which Netanyahu understands. He can\u2019t negotiate the next phase due to pressure from extremist elements in his coalition. That\u2019s why I expect Netanyahu to push the U.S. administration to pressure him, so he can tell his hardline partners, \u2018This is Washington\u2019s will,\u2019 and move forward.\u201d<\/p>\n

Marom ruled out launching a second war on Gaza, explaining: \u201cA large-scale ground invasion requires massive forces and Israeli consensus\u2014especially since the army is tired and depleted.\u201d<\/p>\n

He expects a deal between Israel and Hamas within two months, noting that Witkoff more or less said the same in his interview with Fox News yesterday. He concluded: \u201cWe must listen to Witkoff, who says the current military operations are helping pave the way to an agreement.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Watan-Are protests escalating in the Israeli street due to internal disagreements, after months of limited and hesitant demonstrations despite the resumption of the war on Gaza and the threat to the fate of the remaining hostages? 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