U.S. Announces Ceasefire with Houthis in Yemen Amid Tactical Setback
Mediated by Oman, the deal reflects American military fatigue and exposes cracks in U.S.-Israel alignment.
Watan-In a major shift in the trajectory of the ongoing war in Yemen, the United States announced on Tuesday evening, May 6, a ceasefire agreement with the Houthi movement, in what observers described as more of a tactical retreat than a military or political success. The unexpected announcement, mediated by Oman, followed weeks of unprecedented escalation between U.S. forces and Houthi fighters, particularly in the Red Sea.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump shocked many when he praised the resilience of Houthi fighters, acknowledging their “remarkable ability to endure punishment”—despite his administration overseeing a fierce military campaign against them dubbed “Operation Rough Rider”, which launched in mid-March to deter the Iran-backed group from targeting international shipping lanes and U.S. maritime assets.
However, the operation failed to meet its objectives. The Houthis shot down seven U.S. drones, two fighter jets were lost, and the campaign cost the U.S. over $1 billion, with no strategic gains to show for it.
Analysis: Political Optics and Regional Fallout
In an article published by The Hill, political analyst and international relations scholar Dr. Imran Khalid described the U.S. move as a clear sign of the failure of brute force in managing a complex regional reality—one that stretches beyond Yemen and reaches deep into America’s strategic partnerships in the Middle East.
A Fragile Truce and Fractured Alliances
Trump’s truce notably excluded Israel, sparking frustration in Tel Aviv and revealing fractures in the U.S.-Israeli axis, analysts said. Houthi attacks on Israel continued, reaching as far as Ben Gurion Airport just days before the truce announcement. In response, Israel bombed Sanaa International Airport, yet the Houthis remained undeterred, insisting their attacks were in solidarity with Palestine.
Dr. Khalid argues that the Houthis view this as both a symbolic and strategic victory—they forced Washington to negotiate without surrendering militarily, and crucially, without making political concessions to Israel.
Meanwhile, some Arab allies of the U.S. appeared disoriented, particularly those who had long hoped for the military and political containment of the Houthis. Reports suggest that even the UAE, despite its hostility toward the group, hesitated to support the latest American escalation, possibly signaling a broader reassessment of U.S. reliability in sensitive regional conflicts.
Iran in the Background
While not a direct party to the talks, Iran is widely viewed as the strategic engine behind the Houthis. Yet, overlapping reports suggest Tehran may have encouraged the Houthis to accept a temporary truce, likely in connection to ongoing nuclear negotiations and a wider effort to ease tensions with Washington.
Dr. Khalid poses a pivotal question in his piece: Is this ceasefire merely a temporary measure born of U.S. military exhaustion, or is it part of a larger, undisclosed understanding between Washington and Tehran?
In either case, Iran emerges as a major beneficiary, maintaining the Houthis as a powerful regional proxy capable of pressuring both Israel and international trade routes.
A Tactical Retreat Wrapped in Political Spin
According to The Hill, Trump tried to present the ceasefire as a “U.S. victory”, a product of strength. But in reality, it appears to be a political maneuver to mask a strategic fallback. Dr. Khalid sees it as a short-term tactical arrangement, vulnerable to collapse at any moment—especially since the Houthis have affirmed their right to resume attacks at will.
A Region in Flux: Strategic Uncertainty Deepens
The article concludes that the Middle East is entering a new era of uncertainty, as U.S. credibility as a security guarantor diminishes, and Arab capitals question the value of American alliances. Meanwhile, Israel’s deterrence credibility is at risk, and the Houthis continue to reap regional legitimacy as a resistance force challenging U.S. and Israeli dominance.
Dr. Khalid ends by stating that Trump’s decision does not reflect a peace strategy, but rather an attempt to exit a costly, unresolved conflict. As is often the case with U.S. foreign policy, form prevailed over substance, and this “pause” may be short-lived in the face of shifting Middle East dynamics.